Week 6 NFL Value Picks: ATS, Moneylines & Totals

After a Week 4 full of upsets, Week 5 featured yet the following seven underdogs covering the spread and six winning outright. With value emerging in spreads, game totals, and money-lines, a solid chance to take advantage of markets is provided by Week 6.
A conflict between two struggling teams return home to face the Atlanta Falcons that are 1-4. While Arizona notched their first win over Cincinnati, last week, the Falcons dropped 53-32 into the Houston Texans. With the line starting at -2.5 in favor of the Falcons, now 81 percent of wagers ago Atlanta so much better.
Considering Atlantas crime, the Falcons remain a one-dimensional offense. Right now, the team ranks 28th in rushing yards per game (67.6), but third in passing yards per game (313.2). Even though this could pose a problem in most matchups, Arizona permits the sixth-most passing yards to opposing signal callers (1,420). Arizona has enabled this season to attain 23 total points to every opponent.
Arizona remains limited by injuries with online and their wide receivers. Kyler Murray has taken this year to 21 sacks, which ranks third in the NFL. Atlanta struggles to generate stress, with just 1.2 sacks per game. However, they remain above average in QB Hurries and Hits, suggesting some positive regression from the lineup.
With the defense intrusion manufacturing to enemy sign callers of Arizona, NFL odds point to the Falcons.

Sunday October 13th, 2019 at LA Memorial Coliseum (Los Angeles, California)
Line: On 49

After launching at 48.5-points, the over/under from the 49ers-Rams game has jumped a half point. San Francisco and Los Angeles rank within the top five total yards listed setting up for offensive fireworks.
San Franciscos offense picked up where it left coming out of their Week 4 bye. The 49ers guide the full NFL rushing yards per game. They also rank fifth in total offense, with 427.2 full yards per contest. The Rams position middle-of-the-pack in metrics, however let at least 96 rushing yards to Nick Chubb Chris Carson, and Christian McCaffrey this season.
On the other side, the Rams check in with 413.6 total yards of offense per game. Jared Goff currently ranks third using 1,649 passing yards this season, and San Francisco seems slightly more vulnerable to this pass. Though the 49ers put the clamps on Mason Rudolph and Baker Mayfield they permitted Andy Dalton to notch 311 passing yards in Week 2.
With both humming, this total looks likely to eclipse. NFL odds stage to the over in 49-points as a bet that is powerful.
Sunday October 13th, 2019 at Aarowhead Stadium (Kansas City, Missouri)
Line: Houston +5

Starting at -8.5-points, the lineup has already dropped to Chiefs -5.5-points, even despite Kansas City taking 60 percent of their public wagers. At the moment, it appears this past week, some money may have endorsed Houston. With a slew of injuries in the Kansas City side, Houston looks like a sharp week drama .
Both crimes have been surging of late, yet Houston room to move the ball should be afforded by this matchup. Kansas City positions in rushing yards allowed 9, third-worst. This occurred before losing stud defensive tackle to your groin injury. Houston now ranks 10th in rushing yards per game (129.4), together with Carlos Hyde and Duke Johnson providing a two-headed assault.
As for the Chiefs crime, accidents continue to pile up here too. Even though Patrick Mahomes gutted an injury, Sammy Watkins, Eric Fisher, and Andrew Wylie ended Week 5 on the bench. While facing 13 quarterback hurries this induced Mahomes to consume 11 hits. On crime, the Chiefs appear thin Together with Tyreek Hill for Week 6.
Battling matchup problems and accidents Kansas City looks like a fade for our NFL Picks at Week 5. Line motion and people tendencies point as a drama as an underdog to Houston.
Very best Bet: Falcons -1.5 in Bovada

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