NASCAR at Watkins Glen 2018 odds and picks: Advanced model locks in surprising predictions for GoBowling at The Glen

After opening at 3-1, Kyle Busch is the 3-2 favorite for NASCAR in Watkins Glen 2018, which runs Sunday at 3 p.m. ET. It is the second road course race of the year and Denny Hamlin, recorded at 10-1 NASCAR at Watkins Glen chances, won the pole on Saturday. Busch leads all active drivers with four road wins, including two at Watkins Glen, but his final win in The Glen has been back in 2013. Martin Truex Jr. won GoBowling at The Glen last year and can be listed at 4-1 odds. Before you make any 2018 NASCAR in Watkins Glen picks, you want to find out what SportsLine’s advanced computer version has to say.

The model, built by DFS expert Mike McClure, has an established history in a number of sports. In addition, it powers McClure’s DFS projections, which have led him to over $1 million in career winnings.

McClure, with a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Significant racing events like this have been in his blood, and his model has been crushing its 2018 NASCAR picks.

The model has already made several enormous calls this season, nailing the 1-2 finish for Busch and Harvick in the O’Reilly Auto Parts 500 as well as Harvick’s win at the KC Masterpiece 400. It also pinpointed five of the top 10 at Bristol and two of the top five in Daytona, simply to mention a couple. Anybody following its picks this season is way, way up.

Now that the 2018 NASCAR at Watkins Glen area is locked, SportsLine simulated the event 10,000 times and the results were surprising.

1 surprising pick from the version for GoBowling in The Glen 2018: Chase Elliott, obtaining the third-best NASCAR in Watkins Glen odds to triumph at 6-1, does not sniff the top 10. He’s a driver to avoid on Sunday despite his leading beginning position of third.

Elliott is still in search of the first career Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series win. He’s cracked the top 10 in four of the last seven starts, but was only 19th at Chicago and 34th in Daytona a month. Last year in Watkins Glen, Elliott again started near the top in fourth, but finished a disappointing 13th. He clocked the fastest speed (124.520 miles ) in the last practices for GoBowling at The Glen 2018, but the version says he is a favorite to fade.

Another shocker: Truex Jr., obtaining the second-best chances at 4-1, does not even finish in the top five.

He has had plenty of success on road tracks, including winning final year. But he is a risky pick at these chances because he has an average finish position of 12th at Watkins Glen in his career and has completed 10th or worse in three of his past six races here. There are better values out there in this Go Bowling in The Glen field.

Rather, the model is targeting two huge underdogs with chances longer than 30-1 that are poised to make a serious run in the checkered flag, such as a monster long shot. Anyone who bets on such underdogs could strike it wealthy.

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