Bleacher Report’s Expert Consensus Week 13 NFL Picks

Will this get any easier? Based on the way Bleacher Report’s specialist NFL analysts are faring against the spread this season, it surely can not get much harder.
Deciding every game, Brent Sobleski, Brad Gagnon and Gary Davenport had another challenging streak in Week 12, dropping their album that is combined to 251-259-18. Individually and as a team, here is the damage through 12 weeks (last week’s documents in parentheses):
1. Gary Davenport: 92-78-6 (7-8)
2. Brent Sobleski: 81-89-6 (7-8)
3. Brad Gagnon: 78-92-6 (5-10)
Consensus choices: 83-87-6 (7-8)
With December looming, we requested longtime sports betting analyst Dave Tuley when there might be some light at the end of the tunnel for the gambling public or if the sportsbooks will last to benefit from larger samples late in the summer season.
Tuley gave us a hope, but not enough to get.
“There was a period under a dozen years back where I had a bunch of years in a row where I simply killed it the second half of this year and in December,” he explained. “At that moment, I felt like it was only the time of year once the great teams were overrated and the bad teams were being underrated, and with parity what it had been, the underdogs were doing a whole lot better at the time.”
However, Tuley notes that neither the books nor the bettors have struck benefits . “As much as bettors want to think that we are becoming smarter the more people see these teams play,” he said,”clearly the oddsmakers are seeing the very same things we are, and they’re adjusting and which makes it hard as well.”
But he believes it’s likely to pick out lines that have been exaggerated by streaks and/or slumps. In particular, he pointed in the 7.5-point spread in favor of the New Orleans Saints at a road matchup with the NFC East-leading Dallas Cowboys on Thursday night.
With that line, oddsmakers are suggesting the Saints will be preferred by as many as 13 or 14 points if this game were in New Orleans, which will appear high considering that the Cowboys are riding a three-game winning streak.
“That is [a manifestation of] the way the Saints have been playing,” Tuley said. “For the books to balance their action, they have to place it at the number.”
It is something to keep in mind as we enter this 2018 season’s last month. It may not save your entire year but any guidance helps if you’ve been after us all year.
Here is what Davenport, Gagnon and Sobleski are thinking heading into the first 16-game slate in two or more months.

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